Streaks Community Picks for The Big Game!

Eagles versus Chiefs opened as a pick 'em (even odds) right after the conclusion of the Conference Championship Games, but money quickly came in on the Eagles and moved the line to -125. The Streaks community is also leaning towards Philly—58% of Streakers picked the Eagles to win, which is a slightly higher rate than the implied probability (55.5%) of the current -125 moneyline.

For a slightly higher payout (-110), it may also be worth considering the Eagles spread at -1.5, as last year's game between the Rams and Bengals was the first time since 2009 that the outright winner of The Big Game didn't also cover the points.

If you're picking the Chiefs to win, it's probably because you don't want to bet against Patrick Mahomes who is 6-3 in his career as an underdog and 7-1-1 against the spread. The fact that he has only been a dog in 9 of his 93 career games speaks to just how dominant he has been since breaking out in 2018. 52.3% of Streakers are taking Mahomes OVER 289.5 passing yards.

This seems like a good bet since we expect a competitive game—this is just the fourth Big Game with a point spread of less than three points since the NFL expanded to 32 teams back in 2002. If the game is close, Chiefs coach Andy Reid is sure to leave the game in the hands of his star quarterback. However, a correlated pick that Streakers are much more confident in is Chiefs TE Travis Kelce OVER 77.5 receiving yards.

If you're picking under Kelce receiving yards and Mahomes passing yards, you would be betting that the Eagles' vaunted pass defense will continue to dominate (171.0 opponent passing yards per game this season, 1st in the  NFL). However, the Eagles have not played a top-10 passing offense since all the way back in Week 4 against the Jaguars.

The Streaks community's best bet for a player prop is Eagles QB Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (rushing or receiving). A whopping 78.3% of Streakers picked Hurts to score a touchdown against the Chiefs after he set the record for most rushing touchdowns by a quarterback this season (15). This seems like a great bet given it is currently listed at -115 (53%) on most sportsbooks.

A consistent game script emerges from the Streaks community picks: a high-scoring, competitive game where the Eagles have a slight edge. This is solidified by the community averaging a total score prediction of 53.3 (almost a field goal greater than the current line of 50.5), as well as 76.9% of Streakers picking that neither team will take a lead of more than two touchdowns.

Given the consistency in the Streaks community vision of how this game will play out, there are a bunch of correlated bet combinations that you could parlay if you're looking for a bigger payout. For example, a Same Game Parlay (SGP) on DraftKings of Hurts Anytime TD, Kelce over 74.5 receiving yards, and Eagles -1.5 would give you +400 odds (Bet $10, Win $50).

We hope this post gave you some ideas on how to bet on The Big Game. If you're ready to lock in your picks, be sure to take advantage of BetMGM's promotional offer to get your first bet paid back up to $1,000!